Showing posts with label NASAGoddardvideos. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NASAGoddardvideos. Show all posts

Sunday, March 20, 2016

(4A) Profiles in Malicious Deception - 1000frolly: NASA-The "Mystery" of Antarctic Cooling


Oh the relief, finally, I'm finished!  Welcome to the final installment of my review of 1000frolly's malicious YouTube fraud-video.  For an introduction to this series visit (1) Profiles in Malicious Deception - 1000frolly.

NASA - The "Mystery" of Antarctic Cooling
Published on Jan 25, 2016  |  1000frolly  |  30:04 painful minutes long

1000frolly writes in his description: NASA scientists Walt Meier and Nathan Kurtz are baffled by the "Mystery" of just why the Antarctic simply refuses to warm. {Wrong!  Someone simply did an execrable job of putting together that NASAGoddard video.  Vital information was left on the cutting room floor!}

Instead, it's been cooling for decades! {Michael Crichton may say so, but he's a dead fiction thriller writer, can't you do better than that?  
There's plenty of warming happening on and around Antarctica.}

Their CO2-driven computer models insist that it has to be warming!
It must be! After all; The Science is "Settled" - isn't it? {Yes, Antarctica is warming! Yes, the fundamentals are settled.  Actually, models are plenty accurate, just need to be willing to assess them honestly.}

This is the "Mystery of Antarctica"! The "Canary in the Coal Mine"! 
I will explain just why the Antarctic refuses to warm {But, he never does.}

and why this means that the Enhanced Carbon Dioxide hypothesis (CAGW) has to be thrown out. {Only by ignoring tons of evidence can one cling to such disconnected nonsense.}
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Introduction

It's been interesting in a masochistic sort of way, it's helped teach me about "cosmoclimatology" and Antarctica is always fascinating (if sad) to research and I learned a few more facts, such as that eye popping map of Antarctic bottom waters.  

But dealing with 1000frolly's words was the heart of this.  My ongoing struggle to comprehend how someone can believe and broadcast such cobbled together kindergarden 'science', glued will tons of malicious slander towards honest competent experts.  
Supported with a gross double standard toward evidentiary expectations.  A crank's notions are given more weight than decades worth of Air Force research, followed by literally thousands of scientists and tens of thousands of support staff around globe, studying our planet with ever greater detail and understanding.

All of this is forced through with an attitude of absolute self-certainty and total disregard, nay hostility, towards all contrary information.

He, they, turn what should be a learning process into malicious political theater focused on sowing confusion, distrust and resentment.  It has nothing to do with learning.  Please join me in my examination of 1000frolly many deceptions and lies, check out the footnotes, for corroborating evidence. You can open them in a second window for side by side viewing "(4B) Profiles in Malicious Deception (footnotes): YouTube's 1000frolly: Antarctic Fraud" 
___________________________________________________

22:55  - 1000frolly:  Let's get back to the Antarctic, (Polyakov et. al 2002b)
Now global circulation models forced by carbon dioxide, as they all are show that both poles should warm far more than tropical regions.{Well yes.  Climate models utilize established physics, can't get away from the CO2 reality, any more than you can ignore gravity.}{see #1} 

(4B) Profiles in Malicious Deception (footnotes): YouTube's 1000frolly: Antarctic Fraud

FOOTNOTES:

{#1} Picking it up at 22:55, 1000frolly says: 
"global circulation models forced by carbon dioxide, as they all are"
{Climate Models are scientific tools to understand various aspects of our atmosphere.  To do that they MUST include the physics of CO2.  

The CO2 problem in 6 easy steps
Gavin Schmidt   |  August 6, 2007

We often get requests to provide an easy-to-understand explanation for why increasing CO2 is a significant problem without relying on climate models and we are generally happy to oblige. The explanation has a number of separate steps which tend to sometimes get confused and so we will try to break it down carefully. 
Step 1: There is a natural greenhouse effect
Step 2: Trace gases contribute to the natural greenhouse effect
Step 3: The trace greenhouse gases have increased markedly due to human emissions
Step 4: Radiative forcing is a useful diagnostic and can easily be calculated
Step 5: Climate sensitivity is around 3ÂșC for a doubling of CO2
Step 6: Radiative forcing x climate sensitivity is a significant number
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
Forcings in GISS Climate Models
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~

Thorough, not thoroughly fabricated: The truth about global temperature data

How thermometer and satellite data is adjusted and why it must be done.

http://arstechnica.com/science/2016/01/thorough-not-thoroughly-fabricated-the-truth-about-global-temperature-data/
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~

Climate models have also helped scientist understand what's happening over Antarctica.

Solving the polar climate conundrum
Genevieve Wanucha | Oceans at MIT | August 22, 2014

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

(3A) Profiles in Malicious Deception - Svensmark + 1000frolly


This is the third installment of my dissection of 1000frolly's malicious nonsense in his 1/25/16 YouTube video, "NASA - The "Mystery" of Antarctic Cooling," for an introduction please refer to the first installment.

This continues where #2A and #2B-footnotes left off.  Frolly is still trying to sell his cosmoclimatology while taking a few swipes at the IPCC.  This post contains his words with my commentary and footnote numbers.  I've created a second document (#3B) with footnotes that support my critique.  Ideally you can open both and view them side by side.

I transcribed 1000frolly's words as accurately as I could.  If you find any errors, I will acknowledge and correct them.  1000frolly's words are in Comic Sans font and mine are in Verdana font.
_________________________________________________________________

16:30 - Because all this happened before human activity could have influenced the climate. {Ergo, human's can't change climate?  
Frolly, do you actually believe that?  

CO2 is known to have impacted climate throughout Earth's history, to think that humans injecting more than 2 gigatons month, after month, after month isn't going to have an impact?   I mean, that's like crazy.  see #15} So we know there was a mechanism and this mechanism is related to cosmic ray cloud interactions.  {NO. A lot of arm waving, but no mechanism was described or demonstrated.}

Thursday, March 3, 2016

(1) Profiles in Malicious Deception - 1000frolly

February 16th I posted "A Study in Miscommunication - Increasing Antarctic Ice Extent (is No) Mystery!" in which I describe the failings of a NASAGoddard video who's omission riddled and inept communication does more to confuse than clarify.

A couple days after my post I discovered that YouTube's 1000frolly had gotten to the video a few weeks before me and used it's unfortunate omissions as a platform for driving home his argument that CO2 science is a hoax and that scientists are clueless shills.

Now it's my turn to unpack 1000frolly's malicious fraud.  To do that I needed to transcribe his video which was a pain.  His surly condescension dripping delivery made the YouTube transcript near worthless and the listening increasingly irritating, but finish it I did.  I intersperse 1000frolly's words with reality checks, and links to supporting evidence for my claims.  (I've done my best to accurately reproduce his words, if you find errors, let me know, I'll correct them.)

What's frustrating is that this will do no good.  The Republican/libertarian driven PR campaign is founded on anger and a conviction that malicious tactical lies are part of their Free Speech Right. 

I recall the American standards that we used to strive for, honesty, honor and decency.  Civility to opponents, fair-play, all this seems to have become irrelevant.  But, it shouldn't be.  Though it seems like talking to bricks in a wall, the future demands we keep trying.



NASA - The "Mystery" of Antarctic Cooling
Published on Jan 25, 2016  |  1000frolly  |  30:04 painful minutes long
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PwLYIPdzaJQ

NASA scientists Walt Meier and Nathan Kurtz are baffled by the "Mystery" of just why the Antarctic simply refuses to warm.

Instead, it's been cooling for decades!
Their CO2-driven computer models insist that it has to be warming!
It must be! After all; The Science is "Settled" - isn't it?

This is the "Mystery of Antarctica"!
The "Canary in the Coal Mine"!
I will explain just why the Antarctic refuses to warm, and why this means that the Enhanced Carbon Dioxide hypothesis (CAGW) 
has to be thrown out.
___________________________________________________________

Frolly starts with a clip from the video, I'll share the whole thing, it's short.  The terrible omission and poor followup starts around 1:10 min.  Although previous to that, notice melting glaciers are never mentioned.  Why leave that out?  


NASA | The Arctic and the Antarctic Respond in Opposite Ways 
NASA Goddard | 10/7/14 
_____________________________________________________

1:55  -  1000frolly says: Listen to the dogma,
_________________________
Theatrics.  
In reality climate scientists are always rechecking and refining results and considering all legitimate evidence and challenges.  
The established facts carry the day!
________________________________________________________

What are these guys saying, these supposed scientists. 
He admits that the Antarctic is cooling and yet he said "Ah that doesn't refute global warming."  -  Hey, hello, how can you have global warming, when the globe is not warming?  Only part of it is warming. 
_________________________
Hey, HELLO! 
Antarctica = 5.4 million square miles; Earth=197 million square miles; 
Antarctica = 2.7% of the globe.  Hello?

Then the dripping venom, "Supposed" scientists, in his head.  In reality these are experts and people of real responsibility, who have established good reputations among their colleagues on account of their solid work.  

Frolly's sniping from the side lines sounds more like some drop-out ridiculing the professors who were stuck grading the tests he flunked.