HotWhopper examines David Rose's tricks of the trade

Speaking of Tricks of the Trade I received a comment worth a mention up here:

"We thought you might be interested in our own recent deconstruction of Watts' methodology. http://GreatWhiteCon.info/2015/01/mark-serreze-and-the-arctic-sea-ice-death-spiral/ " 

It details the "Arctic Sea Ice Gone in Summer Within Five Years" meme WUWTzers have been pounding into the dirt.  GWC looks at the 12/12/2007 National Geographic News article that started the whole thing.  Including Mr. Anthony Watts' selective screenshot cropping and what he hide from his audience.  Echo's of Dr. Nils-Axel Morner's Maldives Tree "evidence".  Not to mention that awful habit of taking an editor's sensational title and pretending it's the science.  You'll find it interesting.

Meanwhile back at Sou's place:

There's an interesting, dare I suggest must read, post at HotWhopper this morning that fits right in with my theme of examining the ways and means of how climate science denialists misrepresent the science in order to mislead the public.  Thus I'm mirroring it over here.  Without further ado, take it away Sou:

http://blog.hotwhopper.com/2015/01/tricks-used-by-david-rose-denier.html

Tricks used by David Rose, denier "journalist", to deceive

Sou | 3:41 PM |  WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 21, 2015

This is just a short article to show the journalistic tricks that professional disinformers use. It's excerpts from an article by denier David Rose, who is paid to write trash for the Mail, a UK tabloid of the sensationalist kind. He'd probably claim that he's just "doing his job". His job being to creates sensationalist headlines and not bother too much about accuracy, but try to do it in such a way as to stop the paper ending up in court on the wrong end of a lawsuit. Just. (The paper probably doesn't mind so much getting taken to the Press Complaints Commission. )

Here is what David Rose wrote:

David Rose's latest myths courtesy of UK's "Mail"

I made a mistake in labeling Rupert Murdoch as owner of the Daily Mail and Sunday Mail.  It is the Rothermere clan that owns the Mail.  Although, their pedigree is as frightening as it gets - and it's no wonder they feel so comfortable misrepresenting serious science:  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daily_Mail

It appears David Rose is at it again.  Here Peter Hadfield summarizes  the latest in a four minute video.  Following that I link to a few articles that detail the reporter's many recent deceptions.  It goes back to something I was complaining about in my previous post - the more overwhelmingly clear the science and Earth observations get, the more extreme and outlandish denialists claims are becoming.

David Rose's latest myth from the Mail on Sunday: Arctic ice has returned

Published by potholer54 on Sep 13, 2013 

More examinations of the DailyMail's, David Rose's disingenuous stories

A collection of articles examining the claims by "news reporter" David Rose.

We'll start this collection with a post by the official Met Office blog,  followed by a few more interesting articles examining the logic of David Rose

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Met Office in the Media: 29 January 2012

http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/2012/01/29/met-office-in-the-media-29-january-2012/

Today the Mail on Sunday published a story written by David Rose entitled “Forget global warming – it’s Cycle 25 we need to worry about”. 

This article includes numerous errors in the reporting of published peer reviewed science undertaken by the Met Office Hadley Centre and for Mr. Rose to suggest that the latest global temperatures available show no warming in the last 15 years is entirely misleading. 

Despite the Met Office having spoken to David Rose ahead of the publication of the story, he has chosen to not fully include the answers we gave him to questions around decadal projections produced by the Met Office or his belief that we have seen no warming since 1997. 

For clarity I have included our full response to David Rose below:A spokesman for the Met Office said: “The ten year projection remains groundbreaking science. The complete period for the original projection is not over yet and these projections are regularly updated to take account of the most recent data. 

“The projections are probabilistic in nature, and no individual forecast should be taken in isolation. Instead, several decades of data will be needed to assess the robustness of the projections. 

“However, what is absolutely clear is that we have continued to see a trend of warming, with the decade of 2000-2009 being clearly the warmest in the instrumental record going back to 1850. Depending on which temperature records you use, 2010 was the warmest year on record  for NOAA NCDC and NASA GISS, and the second warmest on record in HadCRUT3.”

Furthermore despite criticism of a paper published by the Met Office he chose not to ask us to respond to his misconceptions. The study in question, supported by many others, provides an insight into the sensitivity of our climate to changes in the output of the sun. 

It confirmed that although solar output is likely to reduce over the next 90 years this will not substantially delay expected increases in global temperatures caused by greenhouse gases. The study found that the expected decrease in solar activity would only most likely cause a reduction in global temperatures of 0.08 °C. This compares to an expected warming of about 2.5 °C over the same period due to greenhouse gases (according to the IPCC’s B2 scenario for greenhouse gas emissions that does not involve efforts to mitigate emissions).  In addition the study also showed that if solar output reduced below that seen in the Maunder Minimum – a period between 1645 and 1715 when solar activity was at its lowest observed level – the global temperature reduction would be 0.13C.

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This week’s top six rebuttals to David Rose’s “warming has stopped” claim

Examining David Rose's "no warming" Daily Mail Stories

Spending time sparing with climate science skeptics, I've had to listen to folks who have uncritically accepted David Rose's claims and are repeating them as if they were holy writ, rather than the sensation seeking creations of a biased reporter's imagination.  A reporter who's more intent on selling himself and News copy then objectivity looking at the evidence.  

The saddest part is how these science distrusting believers are guilty of every intellectual dishonestly they keep accusing professional scientists of.

I will not to presume to present Rose's claims and theory so I've linked to two examples.  Read his articles with some objective skepticism and then consider his claims in light of what serious scientists have to say.  

To help with that I've reposted an article from the folks over at SkepticalScience.com where they do a point by point examination that describes the many flaws in David Rose's reasoning and disingenuous conclusions.

Global warming stopped 16 years ago, Met Office report reveals: MoS got it right about warming... so who are the 'deniers' now?
By David Rose
PUBLISHED: 20:12 EST, 12 January 2013
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2261577/Global-warming-stopped-16-years-ago-Met-Office-report-reveals-MoS-got-right-warming--deniers-now.html
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The Great Green Con no. 1: The hard proof that finally shows global warming forecasts that are costing you billions were WRONG all along   
By David Rose
PUBLISHED: 18:37 EST, 16 March 2013
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2294560/The-great-green-1-The-hard-proof-finally-shows-global-warming-forecasts-costing-billions-WRONG-along.html

Global Warming is Accelerating, but it's Still Groundhog Day at the Daily Mail (via Skeptical Science)

Posted on 17 April 2013 by Rob Painting Key Points Global warming has accelerated, however most of this warming (over 93%) has gone into the ocean - the Earth's largest heat reservoir. An important development has been the uprecedented warming of the deep ocean in recent years. Most of the remaining…

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David Rose's "Global warming stopped 16 years ago" - examined

WUWT is having great fun with a tabloid reporter's front page claim:

Report: Global warming stopped 16 years ago 

Posted on October 13, 2012 by Anthony Watts
A report in the UK Daily Mail reveals a Met Office report quietly released… and here is the chart to prove it . . .
Along with David Rose's assertions:

• The figures reveal that from the beginning of 1997 until August 2012 there was no discernible rise in aggregate global temperatures

• This means that the ‘pause’ in global warming has now lasted for about the same time as the previous period when temperatures rose, 1980 to 1996

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Rose manages this claim by misrepresenting a Met Office study and their data.  In the process ignoring what the Met Office had already explained to him:

“. . . The projections are probabilistic in nature, and no individual forecast should be taken in isolation. Instead, several decades of data will be needed to assess the robustness of the projections. 

“However, what is absolutely clear is that we have continued to see a trend of warming, with the decade of 2000-2009 being clearly the warmest in the instrumental record going back to 1850. Depending on which temperature records you use, 2010 was the warmest year on record  for NOAA NCDC and NASA GISS, and the second warmest on record in HadCRUT3.” 

For the full text visit:
http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/2012/01/29/met-office-in-the-media-29-january-2012/

Considering all the nonsense going on at WUWT I wanted to post a portion of the Met Office's reply to Rose's latest attack.

Met Office in the Media:  

October 14, 2012 

"An article by David Rose appears today in the Mail on Sunday under the title: ‘Global warming stopped 16 years ago, reveals Met Office report quietly released… and here is the chart to prove it’  

It is the second article Mr Rose has written which contains some misleading information, after he wrote an article earlier this year on the same theme – you see our response to that one  here.  

To address some of the points in the article published today:

Firstly, the Met Office has not issued a report on this issue. We can only assume the article is referring to the completion of work to update the HadCRUT4 global temperature dataset compiled by ourselves and the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit. 

We announced that this work was going on in March and it was finished this week. You can see the HadCRUT4 website here. . . ."

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Rose's claim is an example of a well known phenomena - 
anything can be argued convincingly when done in isolation.  

Rose uses a fiction writer's license to contort facts, along with tunnel vision and convoluted logic in order to fabricate a sellable story of his own imagination.  
He refuses to honestly describe the greater body of evidence.  

Consider Rose's phrase "aggregate global temperatures" grand concept, but then he micro focuses on one study's data while refusing explanations.

Besides "aggregate global temperatures"

What is that?  He doesn't explain it.

In the dictionary the definition for "aggregate" is: "formed by the conjunction or collection of particulars into a whole mass or sum; total; combined"

Given that, why does Rose ignore this aggregate global temperatures index?

Land, atmosphere, and ice heating (red), 0-700 meter ocean heat content increase (light blue), 700-2,000 meter OHC increase (dark blue).  From Nuccitelli et al. (2012).

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What pause Mr. Rose?

Why not look at the "aggregate of global warming observations" !

Consider these geophysical indicators:

Ten Charts That Make Clear The Planet Just Keeps Warming

By Joe Romm on Oct 15, 2012 

http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/10/15/1014151/ten-charts-that-make-clear-the-planet-just-keeps-warming/

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The world has not stopped warming.  It's easy enough to get acquainted with the evidence.  But it requires a sincere intellectual effort.  I hope you make the effort. Here's an excellent source for information based on the science, a good place to start.  A repost of SkepticalScience's review that deserves your attention... if you seriously want to understand Rose's myth.

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Rose and Curry Double Down on Global Warming Denial (via Skeptical Science)

Posted on 23 October 2012 by dana1981 David Rose and Judith Curry have doubled down on literal global warming denial, as they continue to deny that the planet is warming. On 13 October 2012, Rose first published an article in the British newspaper the Mail on Sunday claiming that global warming…