This is side two of the flier I handed out at the 2018 Colorado Democratic Assembly/Convention (side one). I notice I've improved a bit in subsequent writings, but will leave this version as it was. (Oh and it looked nicer formatted in two columns, but its the substance that matters so hope this will do.)
A few thoughts regarding Climate Science and our dysfunctional public dialogue
I’ve spent a couple decades attempting to debate climate science contrarians. This has given me insights into the faith-based mind in action and the games they employ to derail discussions. I’ve distilled my experiences into the following list of observations regarding our dysfunctional public dialogue. It’s incomplete and improvable. Still I hope it’s a useful effort, food for thought if nothing else.
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Uncertainties vs. known Physical Certainties
Is it a disservice to constantly allow trivial uncertainties to become the focal point of the public discussion, to the exclusion of facing the known certainties.
In real life when we get overwhelmed and mired in increasingly complex problem, we stop. Back off a little, get reoriented with the big picture and what we do know with reasonable certainty, then move forward again.
I’m not saying ignore uncertainties! But keep reminding all of the overriding fundamental certainties! Thus putting those trivial pursuits into real world perspective.
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Map vs. Territory Problem
Scientists are Cartographers mapping out the geophysical realities of our planet, the Territory if you will. They do the best they can with the data they have available.
Too often we assume that until our scientists can define all aspects with statistical certainty, we should assume it doesn’t exist. That’s getting lost in the Map and forgetting we actually exist within the Territory and had better beware, (which incidentally, doesn’t care if we get it or not.)
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Sloppy usage of “Natural Variability”