One of the favorite diversionary ploys amongst climate science 'skeptics' is to claim that the past few decades hasn't seen any warming because 'global' surface temperature measurements have sort of plateaued... not really, you see the data being used did not include most of the polar regions of our planet, the areas of most warming, along with other issues. The MetOffice has addressed this claim with a series of reports. Here's their introduction.
- What have been the recent trends in other indicators of climate over this period?
- What are the potential drivers of the current pause?
- How does the recent pause affect our projections of future climate?
The second suggests that it is not possible to explain the recent lack of surface warming solely by reductions in the total energy received by the planet, i.e. the balance between the total solar energy entering the system and the thermal energy leaving it. Changes in the exchange of heat between the upper and deep ocean appear to have caused at least part of the pause in surface warming, and observations suggest that the Pacific Ocean may play a key role.
The final paper shows that the recent pause in global surface temperature rise does not materially alter the risks of substantial warming of the Earth by the end of this century. Nor does it invalidate the fundamental physics of global warming, the scientific basis of climate models and their estimates of climate sensitivity.
Links to each of the three papers are below.
Ancient ocean currents may have changed pace and intensity ofs
Posted on 22 August 2014 by Guest Author
Did global warming stop in
1998, 1995, 2002, 2007, 2010?
- - -
The 'pause' in global warming is not even a thing
All signs point to an acceleration of human-caused climate change.
So why all this talk of a pause?