Tuesday, October 27, 2015

NPR and Brumfiel don't "appreciate" climate engine

I don't have any time to do anything with this, but I was confronted with another inane news story, this time at NPR.  "Why Hurricane Patricia Can't Be Blamed On Climate Change"  Geoff Brumfiel October 23, 2015 4:45 PM ET
But I do want to share my comments over there - because frankly I hope they make sense to a few people out there.  And if they do, you are welcome to any of this, it's all about us nudging each other into better understanding the world around us and dealing with the fools surrounding us.


I find it absolutely amazing the contortions supposedly educated minds go through to deny the impacts of global warming.  You do such a nice mishmash in this write-up it's tough to figure out which name to blame.  Perhaps all of them, but the quote that's the hair raiser is:

"The warm water that fueled Patricia is available in abundance this year. The Eastern Pacific has been very warm, thanks to an ocean phenomenon known as El Niño. This year's El Niño is likely to be one of the strongest ever recorded, says Mike Halpert of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration."

Why totally ignore that it's global warming that is the reason behind this extremely El Nino?

No storm today is not connected to global warming!  And the intense storms are only a harbringer of what's to come while all we over smart human's keep coming up with complex ways to confuse and fool ourselves.  Contemptible.

Oh that article: "
"Concerning Our Failure to Appreciate the Weather"

Not sure if they'll print my previous comment since I shared a link to an article in Nov/Dec 2015 The Humanist magazine. 

But, considering that the El Nino this hurricane spawned out of, is definitely the result of our warming global heat and moisture distribution engine, saying a hurricane that sprung from said El Nino is not associated with global warming seems the height of self-delusion.

As they used to say when humanity was first learning about all this stuff a frigen half century ago "You can fool yourselves - but you can't fool Mother Nature!"

Yeah tell that to the people who are actually responsible for other people and North Carolina's infrastructure - you know that stuff that people like you take so godawful-for-granted.
Harry have you ever considered our "global heat and moisture distribution engine" and what makes it function? Or how much it dominates your life? Or how changing key parameters, such as atmospheric insulation (think - putting on a few extra sweaters on an already nice day…) will have definite and far reaching effects (even if people can't figure it all out to your exacting expectations).

Society grew-up within a particular biosphere and grew-up accustomed to a particular climate range. Humanity has altered that big time and put us on a trajectory towards a hothouse planet, and potentially even beyond. Sure this stuff will take untold millennia to play out to its full crescendo. but physical systems are physical systems, they will have their way, no matter what the mechanic wants to believe.
For those who are into understanding, 
rather than denying, 
here's something to consider.

Warm Waters Fuel Hurricane Patricia’s Record Strength

Major Hurricane Patricia underwent rapid intensification overnight in the northeast Pacific Ocean. In 24 hours, its strongest winds increased by 110 mph, the fastest intensification on record in the northeast Pacific. Its highest sustained winds are a staggering 200 mph, easily a Category 5 hurricane.

Patricia is the strongest hurricane on record in the western hemisphere, with a pressure measured from hurricane reconnaissance aircraft of 880 millibars. The storm is in the same class as Typhoon Haiyan, which devastated the Philippines in 2013. However, there was no reconnaissance measurement of the pressure of Haiyan, so Patricia’s winds may actually be stronger.

While an active hurricane season in the Pacific is expected in the El Niño season, this season has been phenomenal. Patricia is the 9th category 4 or 5 storm in the northeast Pacific, exceeding the old record of 8 set in 1997, when another strong El Niño was in place.
As the planet warms from increasing greenhouse gases, more energy is going into the oceans, which is an important component in the strength of hurricanes (also known as tropical cyclones). According to the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report, the wind speed and rainfall rates in tropical cyclones are projected to increase during the 21st century, even while the total number of tropical cyclones remains nearly steady, or even decreases.

The wind speed with Patricia will weaken dramatically as it crosses Mexico, but its remnants will likely bring flooding rain to Texas late this weekend and early next week. It is a reminder that in a warming world, there is also more evaporation to drive storms, which corresponds to heavier precipitation.

Posted on 4 July 2015 by John Abraham
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Climate Change Impacts
Stronger Storms and Hurricanes
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Early Warning Signs of Global Warming: Downpours, Heavy Snowfalls, and Flooding

Climate change: Weather on steroids
How extreme weather events—like droughts—are connected to rising temperatures

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Evidence from warm past confirms recent IPCC estimates of climate sensitivity
February 4, 2015

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Global Analysis - September 2015

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NASA - Vital Signs of (our) Planet
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