Lost in the flood of words Lawyer assured me that none of the climate models have accurately predicted anything. Yet the truth of the matter is that many predictions have been made and come to fruition. These predictions regard fundamental understanding. Hello Lawyer, ignoring it, doesn't make the reality go away!
In any event, I want to share something Lawyer ignored. It's an excellent summation put together by Professor Steve Easterbrook based on a talk given by Dr. Pierrehumbert. He has given me permission to reprint his entire article unaltered.
I thank Dr. Easterbrook and I hope this summary may come in handy for you. Dr. Easterbrook assures me copying and sharing this information is A-okay, but please show both the courtesy of giving them credit.
- 1900: Frank Very worked out the radiation balance, and hence the temperature, of the moon. His results were confirmed by Pettit and Nicholson in 1930.
- 1902-14: Arthur Schuster and Karl Schwarzschild used a 2-layer radiative-convective model to explain the structure of the sun.
- 1907: Robert Emden realized that a similar radiative-convective model could be applied to planets, and Gerard Kuiper and others applied this to astronomical observations of planetary atmospheres.